Dr. Boris GorelikData, AI and networks researcher · host of the podcast השבוע במזרח התיכון
Speaker comparison24 sermons · 100k Arabic words

al-ʿArīfī vs. al-Maghāmisī

Two Saudi preachers, one orthodoxy, opposite instruments — the classical division of pulpit labor between warning and reassurance (الترهيب والترغيب), measured across 24 sermons and lectures.

Mohamad al-Arefe (12 items, 51,860 words) · Saleh al-Maghamsi (12 items, 48,015 words) · same genre mix (Friday khutbas + mosque lectures) · pipeline: mlx-whisper → Gemini 2.5 Flash + wav2vec2 A/D/V + F0 + embeddings
Admonition share
33%15%
of emotional weight — the warner
Calm instruction
22%37%
the teacher
Pitch variability
6041
Hz F0 IQR per sermon
Certainty
86.587.5
statistically identical
Valence
+15+23
al-Maghamsi's sunnier world

The one-paragraph version. The hypothesis behind this pair was that two scholars of the same country, generation and creed would differ almost purely in delivery — and the data agrees, then sharpens it. Al-Arefe preaches the classical rhetoric of warning: admonition carries a third of his emotional weight, his pitch swings half again as wide as his counterpart's, and his sermons run on colloquial mini-dramas — staged everyday dialogues that pull the listener into the story. Al-Maghamsi teaches: calm instruction and reverence dominate, delivered in a narrower, steadier melodic band anchored in Quranic citation and liturgical formula. And beneath the opposite instruments, one identical engine: their linguistic certainty is statistically indistinguishable — same creed, different nervous system.

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The division of pulpit labor

The gap-sorted comparison reads like a definition of الترهيب والترغيب. Admonition — hellfire, reckoning, consequence — belongs to al-Arefe (−18 pp). Calm instruction (+15 pp) and reverence (+7 pp) belong to al-Maghamsi. Urgency and indignation follow al-Arefe; grief, hope and exaltation lean al-Maghamsi. Per sentence, admonition dominates 18% of al-Arefe's talk against 4% of al-Maghamsi's.

emotions
Homiletic registers, gap-sorted dumbbells: dot = share, connector = the difference. Left: statement-level weighted emotions. Right: dominant register per sentence.
فإذا فنيت حسناته قبل أن يُعطى ما عليه أُخذ من خطاياهم فطُرحت عليه ثم طُرح في النار عياذًا بالله al-Arefe — the admonition register: the bankrupt soul on the Day of Reckoning
ولقد وصينا الذين أوتوا الكتاب من قبلكم وإياكم أن اتقوا الله al-Maghamsi — the instruction register: Quranic citation as the sermon's spine

A stylistic signature the palette almost missed: al-Arefe's "urgency" segments are largely storytelling — everyday dialogues in colloquial Gulf Arabic ("how much does he owe you? — ten riyals, wallahi ya rabbi"), staged as miniature moral dramas. Al-Maghamsi's corresponding segments cite scripture. Fear-drama versus scripture-calm, down to the sentence level.

The voice: half again as much melody

The vocal channel is where this pair was predicted to split, and it does: al-Arefe's median sermon moves through a 60 Hz pitch interquartile range against al-Maghamsi's 41 — and both dwarf every politician we have measured with the same instruments (17–25 Hz for Biden, Trump, Netanyahu, Lapid). Vocal arousal and dominance tell the same story twice: al-Arefe 0.79/0.75 vs al-Maghamsi 0.76/0.72 — high and higher. The pulpit out-projects the podium: the mosque register beats every political speaker on prosodic command (politicians: 0.48–0.62).

pitch_variability
Pitch variability per sermon; bar = median.
speech_rate
Speech rate — nearly identical (1.82 vs 1.75 w/s): the difference is melody, not tempo.
vocal
Vocal arousal, dominance, valence per sermon, and vocal dominance vs. text certainty per sentence.

Same canon, same map

Semantically the two preach from one world: the clusters — God and His servants, the Prophet, human conditions and divine will — are shared territory, and message consistency across sermons is essentially identical (0.978 vs 0.980; sermon corpora are the most internally consistent genre we have measured, above even IDF war briefings). One structural difference: al-Arefe's openings are near-verbatim formula (similarity 0.90 vs 0.73) — the fixed khutba preamble — while al-Maghamsi varies his entries and instead standardizes his closings (0.79 vs 0.75).

semantic_map
Each dot is one transcript sentence, placed by meaning; shared PCA axes.
cluster_share
Share of each preacher's sentences per semantic cluster, gap-sorted.

Every sermon rises at the end

Emotional arcs show a genre law rather than a personal signature: both canonical shapes end with a sharp climb in the final tenth — the closing duʿāʾ, where warning resolves into supplication and glad tidings. The two preachers distribute nearly evenly across both shapes: the arc belongs to the liturgy; the voice inside it belongs to the man.

arc_shapes
The two canonical sermon arcs (standardized valence): both resolve upward at the close.

Methods

Caveats